Scottish Politics and Lucky Generals
The SNP-Green coalition in the Scottish Parliament has ended acrimoniously and we are now into unknown territory. The First Minister now faces an uncertain future as his Coalition partners of this morning are this evening threatening to vote against him in an upcoming vote of no confidence.
Northern Ireland’s Impact on a New UK Government
Over the course of the next few weeks, we will examine the General Election from the perspective of each of the regions and nations of the UK. First, we look at the political landscape in Northern Ireland and the impact that the vote in Northern Ireland might have for the rest of the UK.
Xi Jinping’s Superpower Ambitions: Understanding China’s Cyber-Attack on the Electoral Commission
The West has, for some time, been vulnerable to malicious Chinese cyber-attacks. China’s hacking of the UK Electoral Commission brought this issue to greater prominence in the UK. Arden’s Patrick Marsh reflects on Xi Jinping’s geo-strategic logic and explores how Britain may respond in the coming years.
Happy Anniversary to Scotland’s First Minister, We Should Cut him Some Slack
As Scotland’s First Minister, Humza Yousaf ends his first year in office many commentators will remark that he has had a terrible start to his period in Bute House. But that would be unfair on him. The SNP’s failings aren’t really because of his single year in post, but rather because this feels like an […]
A European first, yes. The closing of the Red Waters, maybe.
“Today, we turn a page in the book of our nation’s history – a history that we write together.” So said Vaughan Gething, following his narrow victory against Jeremy Miles in the Welsh Labour leadership race. Indeed, his win marks an important moment in Welsh and European politics. Today, following a vote in the Senedd, […]
When Will The Election Be? Scenario Four: January ’25
The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign. In this post, we consider Sunak’s final option, a January 2025 election.
When Will The Election Be? Scenario Three: October/November ’24
The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
In this post, we consider an autumn election in October or November 2024.
When Will The Election Be? Scenario Two: Summer ’24
The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
In this post, we consider Sunak’s second option, a summer 2024 election.
When Will The Election Be? Scenario One: May ’24
The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
In this post, we consider Sunak’s first option, a May 2024 election.
When Will The Election Be? Four Scenarios
The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
Over the course of this week, we will lay out the various scenarios available to Sunak and his team, and some of the metrics they are considering.